| Archive for Tagpoker Forum A friendly place for winning poker players to share their strategy to making money playing poker. |
| evprop |
win rateFor the levels at say 1s to 10s.... is it possible to maintain a win rate of around 60%?? over say a 2k sample volume?im just messing around with numbers and not sure if its like over the top or something? |
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| Brokerstar |
I don't know what that is in ROI but I think 15% plus is easy to do at those stakes. | ||||
| evprop |
cool, my ROI is 18% and thats for a 61.2 win rate ty
so i guess 15% would be around 57ish% |
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| Borg7 |
ROI= (winrate*win amount-cost)/cost
If we do it for $10s with a 60%, it's gonna be: ROI= (0.6*20-10.5)/10.5 = 14.3% 60% winrate = 14.3% ROI That's def sustainable at those stakes. However, you shouldn't ask if a 60% winrate is sustainable over 2k games...any winrate is sustainable over 2k games, there is only a difference in the likelihood of the singular events which is based upon your true winrate. What you should ask is if 60% can be your true winrate over an infinite number of games. |
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| evprop |
nice one for the added maths for roi formulas borg!!
Kinda lost me with ur afterthoughts lol but i get the idea 
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| BetMagicMoney |
to deep bro
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| evprop |
lololol this!! |
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| ChrisB |
Infinity is impossible 
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| BetMagicMoney |
not true, Infinity is just Infinite..... |
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| evprop |
feel like this thread is going into ifinity.......... this conversation is.... OVER!!
i started and i can end it
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| ChrisB |
Fact is, you will never know your true winrate. You will eventually know your true winrate within a few % of margin for error, but never will you know your actual winrate. | ||||
| evprop |
Always one who has to have the last word!! 
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| ChrisB |
This post proves your point 
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| evprop |
Need to cast a poll vote.... who knew this sort of reply was coming? 
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| Borg7 |
You won't ever know your true winrate within a few % of margin for error...All you can do is calculate confidence intervals in which your winrate is with a confidence probability of 90%, 95%, 99%,...Using 100% as a confidence probability however, won't do you any good because the solution is trivial. So all you will ever be able to say is for example this: There's a 95% chance that my true winrate is somewhere between 0.54 and 0.56. You will never be able to say that your true winrate is somewhere between 0.54 and 0.56. |
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| evprop |
could say im more than confident!! | ||||
| Nishido |
Infinity is never over!! |
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| evprop |
its over if infinity strikes a blackhole, which apparently swallows time for breakfast!! | ||||
| Nishido |
I'm sorry but that comment makes me want to stab you with a spork... a spork!!! |