go!

T:diamond: J:spade:

8:heart: 4:diamond:

 Pretty straightforward decision here. I have a hand which will play well post flop.  

nothing to add

Qd 10c

Kd 5c

Qs 7d 10d

7h

3h

this raise size should throw off villains ranges a little

Jd 5h

As 10c

Jh 6c 3d

Qh

5s

This interests me, what do people think about making it 45? will this make any real difference Vs making it 40??

Idk but apparently R-Q and H2Olga both raise to t45 at 23-25bb. I've thought about it- and I think it just sets up stacks better to increase the EV for sb:

Say both are at t500, and bb flats pre. Then pot is 90 whilst both are at t455. Then if the cbet of 45 is called both will have 410, pot is 180. Then a turn bet of say 110 sets up a perfect river shove if called as pot is 400 and the shove is 300. This puts maximum pressure on the bb making him "indifferent" to calling/folding on all streets in an ideal, optimal game (or something like that). If you minraise, in order to get stacks in one of the streets postflop will involve a biggish bet than normal, and it doesn't "feel" optimal to me...

Of course the problem with this is it increased the EV of bb's 3bet jamming preflop- but if you call perfectly, a 3bet jam/fold strategy for the bb is still exploitable with 5 more chips of dead money pre, at least with stacks greater than 23bbish.

Tbh you may just ignore what I just said as it might be complete rubbish- I think the main reason ppl raise to t45 is that most players don't adapt their ranges well vs this raise size as it is uncommon.

I am going to have to check fold so many flops if I call here as I am clearly going to hit the flop hard very rarely & I expect Kierk to cbet 80-85% of the time

 Obviously tempting to raise here, but I have a weak unconnected hand & given that both previous hands have been folded preflop I think there is a fairly high probability that Kierk will play back either preflop or on the flop  

6c Js

4h 2c

2s 10h 7c

4d

5s

as before

Qc 9c

3d 9d

6s 5c 7h

9h

5s

 Pretty hand. Interesting spot if he 3 bets here  

bad hand, and not a hand in my 3b bluff range

10s 7d

10c Qd

Ah 4h Ac

7h

Kc

i think this raise size should strengthen my range. as if im looking for action after the 2 last folds

What's the general population tendencies are regarding raise sizing? There is an argument that can be made for betting bigger to bluff and smaller to get action, but also another logical argument for betting bigger with better hands. Readless in a superturbo would you raise to t45 or t40 first hand with either AA or 57o? And what would you expect the average villain does?

And for reacting to different raise sizes, should we just try to be unexploitable readless?

For example- if you face a 3x first hand in a superturbo, will you have a flatting range or a 3bet bluffjam range at all? Because if not, then you will be highly exploited by the "exploitable" 3x from the button 25bb deep.

 Playable hand that can make good top pair hands. No reason to tuirn it into a bluff by 3 betting  

personally i like to keep my raise sizing the same, how ever if im to mix it up for say my first hand and i want to get value, i go bigger as i assume people will still call you wide as they might think your a fish etc

 If I lead here it looks like an air bluff or a weak pair so am likely to get played back at a ton. Still ahead of Kierk's raise, cbet range so likely to call a flop bet depending on his sizing  

betting smaller as i feel it strengthens my range and sets up stack sizes to triple off here in a spot where an A is def in my perceived range and v hard for sausage to have one

 I expect Kierk to bet 100% of his range on this board so we are ahead of his range and call as planned.  

Not the best turn given we don't have a heart in our hand. The plan was to check call again, but we may have to check fold now as we are going to be lost on the river if we check call.  

Would be interested to see some thoughts on this hand once the match is finished.

Going to add a huge spoiler to bluff Kierk into letting me get to showdown for free    


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so let me add to this level





f

f
f
f
f
f
f
f
f
f
f
f
f
f
f

ff
f
fuuuuuuuuuuu <3

pretty interesting turn. i expect to have been called w/K or Q hi a bunch on this flop. barrelling to avoid giving free equity to turned flush draws. was prepared to barrell off 3 streets until this turns.

 Not much I can do when he barrels this turn.  

Kh Tc

Js 2s

Ah As 2c

Kc

5d

 Sooted cards in position

he can call with a bunch of stuff i dominate. too deep to jam, planning to sigh call if i get 4b jammed on

 Not entirely surprised to get 3b here. Stacks are deep enough that a shove is going to be profitable with a hand that will still have reasonable equity if called e.g. QJs etc. but J2s is going to be in horrible shape if we got callled. He is cbetting too often (maybe 85-90% of the time?) that I don't think that we can call this small 3b even in position.

We are looking really nitty at this stage of the match so need to bear our image in mind. Unfortunately we are pretty shallow now so its going to be a little difficult to make any moves.  

Jd 8c

Td 4d

Ac 6h 5s

4s

9d

sausage needs to run better

i agree

a common mistake is to limp here or something in fear of getting shoved on and having to fold <20bb deep. i'd be raising close to 100% in this spot)

 Tempting to 3b here, but stack sizes are getting a little too shallow (obviously I wouldn't 3b to 120, but if I did I think I would be committed to calling it off. A 3b here would also look too much like a spite 3b. Expect Kierk to be opening really wide (at least 85%) so I would get a lot of folds, but still doubtful if a 3b here is +EV.  

Qd 9s

Jh 4c

Kd 8h 5d

Kc

3s

hand plays well oop, dont want it to lose its value by shoving this deep

i missed

lol you fools, spoilers are always shrunk to minimum size before they're unspoiled

sidenote: you guys are WAY smarter at pokerz than me

 Don't expect to get 3b bluffed much at these stack sizes. Expect to get called by connected type hands QJ, T9 etc. Combination of PF folds & flop folds means I can raise with most of my range here.  

 Perfect board to cbet. No need to bet more than half pot & I think a bet of 30-35 looks too much like a cheap bet to take the pot down. Not impossible to get played back at here, but we have no reason not to bet because of that. Pretty unlikely that Kierk has a strong hand here as I expect him to 3b his decent Kings & pocket pairs PF  

i missed

Kc Js

Td 4s

3s 9d 9c

2h

Jc

please ship it in sausage

 Easy decision with this hand  

Jh Tc

Th Td

3d 6c 6h

5c

8h

still think i have some FE and when called im rarely in awful shape. too shallow to just flat

 Obviously a great spot to pick up a premium hand on our first button at this level. There are some villains who auto shove almost ATC vs a limp, but no reason to assume this here. If we had been shoving of folding a number of buttons then we may have been forced to shove as a minraise would be somewhat transparent, but as we don't have that dynamic I believe a minraise call is clearly the best line. I think Kierk will reshove any A, any pairs, decent Ks, connected high cards & some SCs.

Nothing to say about calling the shove obv.  

Ah As

Jd 5s

3c 2d 8d

8h

Kh

pretty intrested to see if kierk gets fancy here or not